Situation ‘Does Not Look Good’ for Ukraine, Poland’s Top General Says

Polish Armed Forces Chief of General Staff Rajmund Andrzejczak. Screengrab of an appearance at the Polish National Security Bureau in Washington, April 24, 2023.InternationalIndiaAfricaWarsaw has walked lockstep with Washington in facilitating NATO’s proxy war against Russia in Ukraine. However, many ordinary Poles have expressed concerns over the state’s full-throated support for Kiev, not least due to the Ukrainian government’s lionization of a WWII-era fascist leader whose militias murdered hundreds of thousands of Poles.Ukraine has little chance of emerging victorious in the conflict against Russia, Polish Armed Forces Chief of General Staff Rajmund Andrzejczak has said.Speaking at a debate at the National Security Bureau in Warsaw this week, Andrzejczak explained that the Ukrainian security crisis, and conflicts in general, are political and economic, and not strictly “a matter for the military.”“War always was, is, and there is nothing to indicate otherwise – a matter of politics, and in its determinants has a substantial number of economic factors: finance, infrastructure issues, social issues, technology, food production and a whole set of problems that must be put into this box to understand this conflict,” the general said.

“When I look at the conflict in Ukraine, I mainly see it through these political lenses, and unfortunately it does not look good,” Andrzejczak said.

The senior officer explained that from the perspective of the coming one-two year period at least, there is “nothing” to indicate that Russia will not have the resources to continue operations. “Those financial instruments which it had before the conflict, the dynamics of spending, the effectiveness of sanctions, and the whole complex economic situation speak to the fact that Russia will have the money for this conflict,” he said.Ukraine, on the other hand, “has huge financial problems,” according to Andrzejczak. “We know how much the country needs per month. We know what American assistance amounts to, that of the entire collective West amounts to. We also know what Polish assistance is in this area, because we are the second-largest donor and should probably be a major inspiration for others. The speed of attrition in the financial area is, in my opinion, unfavorable [to Kiev], unfortunately,” he stressed.WorldKiev Sends Note of Protest to Poland, EU After Banning Ukrainian Import 12:41 GMTWhat’s more, Andrzejczak said, there’s nothing to indicate that the Ukrainians who fled the country last year are ready to return home and begin rebuilding the country.Accordingly, he suggested, NATO allies and the entire collective West will have to use the upcoming alliance summit in Vilnius in July to demonstrate their “credibility.”“If we are late, if we do not take advantage of this opportunity and do not show determination, we will not give Ukraine a chance to build its secure future,” he said.Stressing that his status as a professional soldier obliges him to speak about the most unfavorable and difficult scenarios for the present crisis, Andrzejczak emphasized that the security situation today is “very bad, very dangerous for Poland.”The senior officer also complained that many Western leaders still don’t seem to realize how far Ukraine is from “winning” against Russia, saying the Western bloc “just doesn’t have the ammunition, industry is not ready not only to send equipment to Ukraine, but to replenish our own stocks, which are melting. This awareness is not the same there as it is here on the Vistula River, and it must be communicated firmly, without an anesthetic, to everyone and in all forums, wherever possible, which is what I’m doing,” he said.As one of America’s top allies in NATO, Poland has provided over $2.67 billion in direct military assistance to Ukraine over the past year, and has allowed for its territory to be used for the transfer of tens of billions of dollars’ worth of Western military hardware to Kiev, and training for Ukrainian troops. Polish media have also reported that large numbers of Poles have taken part in the fighting against Russia, with a report from November 2022 estimating that about 1,200 Polish nationals had been killed to that date, and the government creating a special 1,700-space “American-style cemetery” in Olsztyn, northeastern Poland for the dead.Russia’s Special Operation in UkraineUkraine Disassembling Many Fighter Jets Provided by Slovakia, Poland23 April, 16:46 GMTWarsaw played an instrumental role in supporting the Euromaidan coup d’état in February 2014 which sparked the Ukraine crisis, supporting the Washington and Brussels-led push to break Ukraine off from interaction and cooperation with Russia and to push it toward Western institutions like the European Union and NATO.But not all Poles are happy about the role their government has played in Ukraine, with some citing the financial costs of the economic war with Russia and the burden of hosting up to 1.3 million refugees. Others are critical of the Ukrainian government’s support for radical ultranationalist forces in Kiev, which have glorified Stepan Bandera – a Ukrainian fascist and Nazi collaborator whose militias murdered hundreds of thousands of Polish civilians, Jews, anti-fascist Ukrainians, and Red Army troops in western Ukraine during the Second World War.According recent opinion polling, while 48 percent of Poles continue to support further military aid for Ukraine, over one third of respondents are now opposed to any further aid.WorldPoland Losing Big From Escalation in Ukraine and Growing Dependence on Washington8 April, 09:52 GMT


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